UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
San Diego, USA
13 Dec 2006
Middleweight
VS
58%
Belcher
42%
Santiago
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:45
AB
Alan Belcher
"The Talent"
18 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
JS
Jorge Santiago
"The Sandman"
25 – 12
Knockout Artist5-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Belcher

This is a genuine toss-up — Belcher at 58% vs Santiago at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Santiago has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Belcher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Belcher's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santiago has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Belcher
Santiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Belcher
Santiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
16.3
53.0
Performance Avg
42.7
48
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
39
Belcher
Santiago
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
0
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Belcher
Santiago
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belcher
Santiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
30
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/37 fights
Belcher
Santiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Belcher
Santiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Belcher
Santiago
Striking5.6 / 10.0Volume2.1 / 0.3Grappling2.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure7.2 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Belcher
Strike Zones
Santiago
Belcher
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY6LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Santiago
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY6LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Belcher targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Santiago absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Santiago targets the head (75% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Belcher
RND
Santiago
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Belcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W2.8L5.0W4.2W1.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L2006-082007-102009-072012-052013-04
WinLossTrend

Santiago · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W2.8L4.0L2.8L5.5L6.6L2006-062006-082006-122011-052011-102013-02
WinLossTrend

Belcher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05

Santiago · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · KO · R3
Alan BelcherRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R2
Chris LebenRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08

News & Media

Alan Belcher · Jorge Santiago
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