METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
San Diego, USA
13 Dec 2006
Middleweight
VS
58%
Belcher
42%
Santiago
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:45
★ Official Result
Alan BelcherwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:45
def. Jorge Santiago · UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belcher
→
Actual result
Belcher wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Belcher at 58% vs Santiago at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Santiago has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Belcher's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santiago has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BelcherSantiago
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Belcher
Santiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Belcher
Santiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
16.3
53.0
Performance Avg
42.7
48
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
39
Belcher
Santiago
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
7.5
2.1
Style: Volume
0.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
0
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Belcher
Santiago
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belcher
Santiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
30
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/37 fights
Belcher
Santiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Belcher
Santiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belcher
Santiago
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
BelcherSantiago
Strike Zones
Belcher
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSantiago
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belcher targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Santiago absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Santiago targets the head (75% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belcher
RND
Santiago
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Belcher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiDecision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteSubmission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
Santiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaDecision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · KO · R2
Brian StannKO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · KO · R3
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R2
Chris LebenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08