METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Las Vegas, USA
10 Sept 2022
Middleweight
VS
65%
Tiuliulin
35%
Pickett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:52
★ Official Result
Denis TiuliulinwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:52
def. Jamie Pickett · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tiuliulin
→
Actual result
Tiuliulin wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Tiuliulin holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Pickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tiuliulin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Risk flags
Tiuliulin's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TiuliulinPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
+80"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
20.0
39.7
Performance Avg
23.9
55
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
45
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
0.7
0.3
Style: Volume
8.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
21
14
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
30Distance23
15Clinch2
6Ground0
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tiuliulin
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
TiuliulinPickett
Strike Zones
Tiuliulin
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedPickett
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tiuliulin targets the head (73% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the head (84% of attacks) — Tiuliulin absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tiuliulin
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Tiuliulin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Jamie PickettKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
Pickett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Denis TiuliulinKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausSubmission
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