UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Welterweight
VS
36%
Mein
64%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Morono
Morono holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Mein has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Mein connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mein's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mein
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mein
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
35.0
45.6
Performance Avg
43.3
39
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
20
Mein
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mein
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mein
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/43 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Mein
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mein
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
31%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mein
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
MeinMorono
Strike Zones
Mein
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMorono
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mein targets the head (50% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (71% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mein
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
Mein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Mein · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
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UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
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L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
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