UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Easton
13%
Papazian
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Easton
Easton is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Easton has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Easton has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Easton
Papazian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
67"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Easton
Papazian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
2.4
38.1
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Easton
Papazian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
35%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
26
12
Body
6
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
35Distance33
6Clinch3
0Ground0
Easton
Papazian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Easton
Papazian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/33 fights
Easton
Papazian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Easton
Papazian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Easton
Papazian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
EastonPapazian
Strike Zones
Easton
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedPapazian
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Easton targets the head (56% of attacks) — Papazian absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Papazian targets the head (72% of attacks) — Easton absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Easton
RND
Papazian
0/0R00/0
Easton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Papazian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Easton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Raphael AssuncaoRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
Papazian · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin PagueRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01