UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Lightweight
VS
84%
Kutateladze
16%
Vucenic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kutateladze
Kutateladze is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kutateladze has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Kutateladze throws more volume but Vucenic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
6.9
31.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
2Clinch1
4Ground0
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kutateladze
Vucenic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KutateladzeVucenic
Strike Zones
Kutateladze
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedVucenic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kutateladze targets the head (75% of attacks) — Vucenic absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Vucenic targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kutateladze absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kutateladze
RND
Vucenic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kutateladze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Vucenic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Kutateladze · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jordan VucenicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R3
Elves BrenerRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
Vucenic · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08