UFC 67: All or Nothing
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Machida
46%
Hoger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LM
Lyoto Machida
"The Dragon"
24 – 8
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw47 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
SH
Sam Hoger
"The Alaskan Assassin"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Machida

This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 54% vs Hoger at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Machida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Machida
Hoger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
47
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Hoger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
16.0
53.8
Performance Avg
38.3
45
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
50
Machida
Hoger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
22%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
2
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance2
4Clinch0
4Ground0
Machida
Hoger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Machida
Hoger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Machida
Hoger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
50
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Machida
Hoger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Machida
Hoger
Striking5.7 / 0.8Volume5.3 / 4.8Grappling1.7 / 5.2Wrestling1.2 / 3.6Submission0.6 / 5.0Pressure5.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Machida
Strike Zones
Hoger
Machida
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Hoger
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (74% of attacks) — Hoger absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Hoger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Machida
RND
Hoger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Machida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W3.9L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W2.1L2.8L1.8L5.3W5.2W2007-022009-052012-082014-122018-05
WinLossTrend

Hoger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L2005-042005-082005-112006-042007-02
WinLossTrend

Machida · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04

Hoger · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeff NewtonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
Bobby SouthworthRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04

News & Media

Lyoto Machida · Sam Hoger
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