UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Krylov
56%
Guskov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:18
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31 – 11
6'3"77" reachOrthodox34 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 60
Bogdan
Bogdan Guskov
"Hitman"
18 – 3
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak33 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 76

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guskov

This is a genuine toss-up — Krylov at 44% vs Guskov at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Guskov throws more volume but Krylov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Krylov
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
75.8
52.7
Performance Avg
65.7
50
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
100
Krylov
Guskov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
3.5
60%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
20
3
Body
1
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Krylov
Guskov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Krylov
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Krylov
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Krylov
Guskov
Striking5.3 / 9.1Volume2.5 / 1.6Grappling3.7 / 2.0Wrestling2.6 / 1.4Submission4.2 / 2.5Pressure7.5 / 9.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.4
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
Krylov
Strike Zones
Guskov
Krylov
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD1BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Guskov
Attacking
20HEAD1BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Guskov targets the head (87% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Krylov
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Krylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Guskov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0102.3L5.0W5.7W6.8W6.2W2023-092024-022024-042025-012025-07
WinLossTrend

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Whittaker
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

Guskov · Last 5

Upcoming
Jan Blachowicz
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Zac PaugaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Nikita Krylov · Bogdan Guskov
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