METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Krylov
55%
Guskov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:18
★ Official Result
Bogdan GuskovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:18
def. Nikita Krylov · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guskov
→
Actual result
Guskov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Krylov at 45% vs Guskov at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guskov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KrylovGuskov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Krylov
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
71.1
51.6
Performance Avg
60.3
50
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
100
Krylov
Guskov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
9.0
2.4
Style: Volume
1.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
20
3
Body
1
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Krylov
Guskov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Krylov
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Krylov
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Krylov
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Krylov
Guskov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
KrylovGuskov
Strike Zones
Krylov
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedGuskov
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Guskov targets the head (87% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Krylov
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
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