UFC 24: First Defense
Lake Charles, USA
10 Mar 2000
Lightweight
VS
83%
Carter
17%
Gumm
Win Probability
Decision
Round 2 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Carter
Carter is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Carter has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Carter's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Carter
Gumm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
54
Age
—
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Carter
Gumm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
2.7
41.0
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
25
Momentum Score
0
Carter
Gumm
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
2
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance7
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Carter
Gumm
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Carter
Gumm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/82 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Carter
Gumm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R2
Carter
Gumm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carter
Gumm
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CarterGumm
Strike Zones
Carter
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGumm
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carter targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Gumm absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Gumm targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carter absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carter
RND
Gumm
0/0R00/0
Carter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Carter · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R2
Pat MiletichRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06
W · KO · R3
Matt SerraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
W · Dec · R2
Adrian SerranoRating 4.2Decision
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06
Gumm · Last 2
Upcoming
CJ FernandesDecision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Dec · R2
Shonie CarterRating 4.8Decision
UFC 24: First Defense · 2000-03