METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Krylov
49%
Bukauskas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:57
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak32 yrsSwitch76" reach6'3"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Nikita KrylovwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:57
def. Modestas Bukauskas · UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
→
Actual result
Krylov wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Krylov at 51% vs Bukauskas at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bukauskas has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KrylovBukauskas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Krylov
Bukauskas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Krylov
Bukauskas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
55.8
51.6
Performance Avg
51.0
50
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
94
Krylov
Bukauskas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
2.4
Style: Volume
4.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
16
13
Body
0
12
Leg
2
RangeRange
35Distance18
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Krylov
Bukauskas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Krylov
Bukauskas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Krylov
Bukauskas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
94
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Krylov
Bukauskas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
56%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Krylov
Bukauskas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
KrylovBukauskas
Strike Zones
Krylov
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBukauskas
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (36% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (89% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Krylov
RND
Bukauskas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Krylov · Last 5
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