METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Velasquez
42%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:04
★ Official Result
Junior Dos SantoswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:04
def. Cain Velasquez · UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Velasquez
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Velasquez at 58% vs Santos at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VelasquezSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Velasquez
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
18.7
69.4
Performance Avg
57.8
62
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
59
Velasquez
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.9
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
6.6
2.9
Style: Volume
4.0
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
10 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
0
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Velasquez
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Velasquez
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Velasquez
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Velasquez
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
67%
10
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
VelasquezSantos
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSantos
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneKO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneKO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03