★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Velasquez
42%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:04
CV
Cain Velasquez
14 – 3
6'1"77" reachOrthodox43 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 26
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
Striker4-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Velasquez

This is a genuine toss-up — Velasquez at 58% vs Santos at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Velasquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Velasquez
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
18.7
69.4
Performance Avg
57.8
62
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
59
Velasquez
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
0
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Velasquez
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Velasquez
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Velasquez
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Velasquez
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
67%
10
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Velasquez
Santos
Striking9.9 / 8.0Volume2.9 / 4.0Grappling0.4 / 0.8Wrestling0.3 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Velasquez
Strike Zones
Santos
Velasquez
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY4LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY4LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Velasquez
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Velasquez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5W2.8L5.0W1.9L2008-042009-102012-052015-062019-02
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Velasquez · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

News & Media

Cain Velasquez · Junior Dos Santos
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