UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
Las Vegas, USA
31 Oct 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
81%
Jacoby
19%
Ledet
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:38
Dustin
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
229
6'3"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight win streakStriker
CFR 62
JL
Justin Ledet
"El Blanco"
94
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jacoby

Jacoby is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Jacoby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jacoby's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ledet has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jacoby
Ledet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+80"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Ledet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
14.5
53.8
Performance Avg
37.9
48
Quality of Victory
35
91
Momentum Score
53
Jacoby
Ledet
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
35%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
2
Body
0
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance10
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Jacoby
Ledet
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Ledet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Jacoby
Ledet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
53
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Ledet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jacoby
Ledet
Striking8.3 / 0.9Volume3.6 / 6.2Grappling0.7 / 4.3Wrestling0.5 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.8 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Jacoby
Strike Zones
Ledet
Jacoby
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY10LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Ledet
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY10LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (45% of attacks) — Ledet absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Ledet targets the head (80% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jacoby
RND
Ledet
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Jacoby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5W5.6W6.4L7.4L6.3W6.4L2.5L6.6W5.0W5.2W2011-102021-082022-102024-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Ledet · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.6L2.3L5.5L2.9L2016-082017-092019-022020-10
WinLossTrend

Jacoby · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Ledet · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Azunna AnyanwuRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

News & Media

Dustin Jacoby · Justin Ledet
← Back to fights