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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Middleweight
VS
53%
Leites
47%
Camozzi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:58
TL
Thales Leites
289
6'1"78" reachOrthodox45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
CC
Chris Camozzi
2413
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsSubmissionR3 · 2:58
def. Chris Camozzi · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leites
Actual result
Leites wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 53% vs Camozzi at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Camozzi has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LeitesCamozzi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Leites
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
45
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
14.4
48.8
Performance Avg
37.6
40
Quality of Victory
31
35
Momentum Score
63
Leites
Camozzi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
3.0
4.9
Style: Volume
6.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Leites
Camozzi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
40
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
19/37 fights
Leites
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
63
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Leites
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
22%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leites
Camozzi
Striking2.8 / 2.1Volume4.9 / 6.3Grappling4.2 / 2.5Wrestling2.9 / 1.7Submission3.9 / 1.1Pressure5.6 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Leites
Strike Zones
Camozzi
Leites
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Camozzi
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (100% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the head (80% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leites
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0

Leites · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hector Lombard
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Hermansson
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad Tavares
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam Alvey
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof Jotko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

Camozzi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor Smith
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Kelly
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales Leites
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor Miranda
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe Riggs
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

News & Media

Thales Leites · Chris Camozzi
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