UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Middleweight
VS
53%
Leites
47%
Camozzi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Leites
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 53% vs Camozzi at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Camozzi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Leites
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
14.4
48.8
Performance Avg
37.6
40
Quality of Victory
31
35
Momentum Score
63
Leites
Camozzi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Leites
Camozzi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
40
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
19/37 fights
Leites
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
63
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Leites
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
22%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Camozzi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
LeitesCamozzi
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCamozzi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (100% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the head (80% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Camozzi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02