UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Faber
48%
Menjivar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:34
IM
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Faber
This is a genuine toss-up — Faber at 52% vs Menjivar at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Menjivar throws more volume but Faber connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Faber
Menjivar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
64"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Faber
Menjivar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
19.2
49.4
Performance Avg
46.7
42
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
64
Faber
Menjivar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch2
15Ground0
Faber
Menjivar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Faber
Menjivar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
9/37 fights
Faber
Menjivar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Faber
Menjivar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
Menjivar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
FaberMenjivar
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMenjivar
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (94% of attacks) — Menjivar absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Menjivar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
Menjivar
0/0R00/0
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Menjivar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Menjivar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
L · Sub · R1
Urijah FaberRating 1.5Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Azamat GashimovRating 5Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07