UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Flyweight
VS
45%
Kelades
55%
Beal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CK
Chris Kelades
"The Greek Assassin"
9 – 3
5'7"68" reachOrthodox45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
CB
Chris Beal
"Real Deal"
10 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Beal

This is a genuine toss-up — Kelades at 45% vs Beal at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Beal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Beal throws more volume but Kelades connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Kelades
Beal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+69"
45
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kelades
Beal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.1
16.0
35.0
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
40
44
Momentum Score
48
Kelades
Beal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
14
7
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance13
2Clinch3
2Ground0
Kelades
Beal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kelades
Beal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Kelades
Beal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
44
48
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Kelades
Beal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kelades
Beal
Striking1.0 / 5.8Volume9.0 / 4.8Grappling2.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.7 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Kelades
Strike Zones
Beal
Kelades
Attacking
15HEAD7BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Beal
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD7BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kelades targets the head (65% of attacks) — Beal absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Beal targets the head (88% of attacks) — Kelades absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kelades
RND
Beal
0/0R00/0

Kelades · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.0L4.5W5.5L2014-102015-022015-082016-04
WinLossTrend

Beal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L2014-042014-092015-012015-082016-06
WinLossTrend

Kelades · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Sub · R3
Ray BorgRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Beal · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Joe SotoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04

News & Media

Chris Kelades · Chris Beal
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