UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
San Jose, USA
20 Apr 2013
Lightweight
VS
51%
Means
49%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
35 – 17
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Means

This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 51% vs Masvidal at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Means
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
35.2
45.2
Performance Avg
47.0
41
Quality of Victory
42
40
Momentum Score
43
Means
Masvidal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
9
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
1Clinch0
9Ground9
Means
Masvidal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Means
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Means
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Masvidal
Striking5.0 / 5.3Volume4.8 / 4.4Grappling2.2 / 1.7Wrestling1.5 / 1.2Submission1.3 / 0.8Pressure5.3 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Means
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Means
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Masvidal
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (94% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (82% of attacks) — Means absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0

Means · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L6.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W1.9L5.2W5.2W2.8L4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.2L5.0W3.7L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.4L6.1L2.8L5.5W3.3L1.7L2012-022015-042018-112022-102024-10
WinLossTrend

Masvidal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.6W6.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L6.1L5.1W5.0W4.3W6.6L3.2L6.8L5.7L2013-042015-042017-012020-072023-04
WinLossTrend

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

Masvidal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Tim Means · Jorge Masvidal
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