UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Hamilton
53%
Spitz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Spitz
This is a genuine toss-up — Hamilton at 47% vs Spitz at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Spitz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Hamilton has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hamilton's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hamilton
Spitz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"
Height
+6'7"
76"
Reach
+82"
46
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamilton
Spitz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
18.0
40.0
Performance Avg
46.0
47
Quality of Victory
60
72
Momentum Score
36
Hamilton
Spitz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.1
63%
Strike Accuracy
35%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Hamilton
Spitz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamilton
Spitz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Hamilton
Spitz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
36
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hamilton
Spitz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hamilton
Spitz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HamiltonSpitz
Strike Zones
Hamilton
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSpitz
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spitz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hamilton absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hamilton
RND
Spitz
0/0R00/0
Hamilton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Spitz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hamilton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Adam WieczorekRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Daniel SpitzRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Marcel FortunaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Sub · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Damian GrabowskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Spitz · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Mark GodbeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03