UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Welterweight
VS
52%
Ponzinibbio
48%
Cummings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Santiago
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
31 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox39 yrsStriker
CFR 46
ZC
Zak Cummings
25 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak41 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ponzinibbio

This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 52% vs Cummings at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ponzinibbio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
42.5
50.5
Performance Avg
53.3
44
Quality of Victory
41
46
Momentum Score
63
Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
11
1
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
63
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ponzinibbio
Cummings
Striking7.0 / 3.4Volume4.5 / 4.6Grappling1.0 / 4.2Wrestling0.7 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure5.9 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Ponzinibbio
Strike Zones
Cummings
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
20HEAD1BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Cummings
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD1BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (87% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Cummings targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ponzinibbio
RND
Cummings
0/0R00/0

Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.0W5.6W2.8L5.0W5.2W4.9W4.5W6.1W4.5W6.0W2.3L5.1W6.5L6.1L5.5W4.6L6.5L6.3W4.9L2013-112016-042018-112022-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Cummings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.8L5.0W4.8W6.0L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.7W2013-082016-042018-052020-082023-04
WinLossTrend

Ponzinibbio · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

News & Media

Santiago Ponzinibbio · Zak Cummings
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