METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Welterweight
VS
62%
Micallef
38%
Elliott
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:31
★ Official Result
Jonathan MicallefwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:31
def. Oban Elliott · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Micallef
→
Actual result
Micallef wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Micallef holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Elliott has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elliott has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MicallefElliott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Micallef
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
72"
27+
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Micallef
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.6
40.7
59.9
Performance Avg
40.0
33
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
40
Micallef
Elliott
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.8
7.3
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
18
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Micallef
Elliott
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Micallef
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Micallef
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Micallef
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Micallef
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
MicallefElliott
Strike Zones
Micallef
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedElliott
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Micallef targets the head (63% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (95% of attacks) — Micallef absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Micallef
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
Micallef · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Oban ElliottSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Kevin JoussetDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
Elliott · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07