UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Columbus, USA
7 Mar 2009
Lightweight
VS
23%
Maynard
77%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GM
Gray Maynard
13 – 7
5'9"70" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'8"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

Miller is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Miller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maynard
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Maynard
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
43.5
41.4
Performance Avg
51.5
28
Quality of Victory
45
60
Momentum Score
28
Maynard
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
40%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Maynard
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maynard
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Maynard
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
28
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Maynard
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
14
10
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maynard
Miller
Striking2.1 / 3.4Volume8.5 / 3.5Grappling2.2 / 4.7Wrestling1.5 / 3.3Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure2.5 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Maynard
Strike Zones
Miller
Maynard
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Miller
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the head (82% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maynard
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0

Maynard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W3.4L5.0W1.5L1.5L2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2007-092009-092013-052016-122018-10
WinLossTrend

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Maynard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8
KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernando BrunoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
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News & Media

Gray Maynard · Jim Miller
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