METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Columbus, USA
7 Mar 2009
Lightweight
VS
23%
Maynard
77%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gray MaynardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Miller · UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Maynard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Miller is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaynardMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maynard
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Maynard
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
43.5
41.4
Performance Avg
51.5
28
Quality of Victory
45
60
Momentum Score
28
Maynard
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
2.5
Style: Pressure
6.8
8.5
Style: Volume
3.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Maynard
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
14
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maynard
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Maynard
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
28
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Maynard
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
14
10
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maynard
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MaynardMiller
Strike Zones
Maynard
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMiller
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the head (82% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maynard
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Maynard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
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