UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jun 2024
Featherweight
VS
53%
Cuamba
47%
Almeida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TC
Timmy Cuamba
"Twilight"
10 – 4
5'9"71" reachOrthodox27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Lucas
Lucas Almeida
15 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cuamba

This is a genuine toss-up — Cuamba at 53% vs Almeida at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Almeida throws more volume but Cuamba connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Almeida has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cuamba
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
27+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cuamba
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.8
36.9
40.0
Performance Avg
35.8
40
Quality of Victory
38
28
Momentum Score
33
Cuamba
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
12
8
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance16
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Cuamba
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cuamba
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Cuamba
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Cuamba
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cuamba
Almeida
Striking5.8 / 5.7Volume4.8 / 4.7Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Cuamba
Strike Zones
Almeida
Cuamba
Attacking
15HEAD8BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD8BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cuamba targets the head (63% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cuamba absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cuamba
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cuamba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.6L5.2W5.8W3.7L2024-022024-062025-042025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5W3.8L2.2L4.8W6.8L2.6L2022-062023-062023-122024-062025-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Cuamba · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Benardo SopajRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
ChangHo LeeRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Roberto RomeroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Bolaji OkiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

Almeida · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michael Aswell Jr.Rating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Andre FiliRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R2
Pat SabatiniRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Timmy Cuamba · Lucas Almeida
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