UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
New York City, USA
3 Nov 2018
Featherweight
VS
48%
Knight
52%
Rinaldi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rinaldi
This is a genuine toss-up — Knight at 48% vs Rinaldi at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Knight has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Knight
Rinaldi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Knight
Rinaldi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
15.3
40.2
Performance Avg
39.7
37
Quality of Victory
40
26
Momentum Score
43
Knight
Rinaldi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Knight
Rinaldi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Knight
Rinaldi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/21 fights
Knight
Rinaldi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Knight
Rinaldi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Knight
Rinaldi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
KnightRinaldi
Strike Zones
Knight
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRinaldi
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Knight targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Rinaldi absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Knight
RND
Rinaldi
0/0R00/0
Knight · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Rinaldi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Knight · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R3
Chas SkellyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Rinaldi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
W · Sub · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Abel TrujilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05