METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Middleweight
VS
64%
Holland
36%
Stewart
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Darren Stewart · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
→
Actual result
Holland wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holland holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Stewart has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Stewart throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandStewart
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
81"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
26.9
49.3
Performance Avg
42.3
44
Quality of Victory
43
51
Momentum Score
68
Holland
Stewart
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance3
2Clinch2
0Ground7
Holland
Stewart
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Holland
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Holland
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
HollandStewart
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedStewart
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (90% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (75% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08