UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Welterweight
VS
42%
Magny
58%
Garry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Ian
Ian Machado Garry
"The Future"
17 – 1
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'3"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garry

This is a genuine toss-up — Magny at 42% vs Garry at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny
Garry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Garry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
64.8
47.4
Performance Avg
57.1
36
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
100
Magny
Garry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
18
3
Body
6
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
8Distance37
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Magny
Garry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Garry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Magny
Garry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Magny
Garry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
30%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Garry
Striking4.2 / 4.8Volume6.0 / 7.4Grappling2.4 / 1.7Wrestling1.7 / 1.2Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
Magny
Strike Zones
Garry
Magny
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD6BODY16LEGS40 absorbed
Garry
Attacking
18HEAD6BODY16LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the body (38% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Garry targets the head (45% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Garry
0/0R00/0

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Garry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.9W5.1W5.5W5.3W7.6L6.7W5.6W2021-112023-032024-022025-042025-11
WinLossTrend

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Garry · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Neil Magny · Ian Machado Garry
← Back to fights