METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Welterweight
VS
42%
Magny
58%
Garry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ian Machado GarrywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Neil Magny · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garry
→
Actual result
Garry wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Magny at 42% vs Garry at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MagnyGarry
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magny
Garry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Garry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
64.8
47.4
Performance Avg
57.1
36
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
100
Magny
Garry
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
18
3
Body
6
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
8Distance37
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Magny
Garry
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Garry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Magny
Garry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Magny
Garry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
30%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Garry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
MagnyGarry
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedGarry
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the body (38% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Garry targets the head (45% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Garry
0/0R00/0
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Garry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Garry · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02