UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Bantamweight
VS
39%
Jabouin
61%
Almeida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:18
YJ
Yves Jabouin
"Tiger"
20 – 11
5'7"68" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
TA
Thomas Almeida
"Thominhas"
22 – 5
Knockout Artist4-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Almeida

Almeida holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jabouin has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jabouin's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Almeida has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jabouin
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
46
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jabouin
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
18.4
35.0
Performance Avg
50.6
25
Quality of Victory
51
55
Momentum Score
59
Jabouin
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
18
8
Body
7
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
18Distance24
2Clinch7
0Ground0
Jabouin
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jabouin
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Jabouin
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Jabouin
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jabouin
Almeida
Striking1.0 / 9.0Volume9.0 / 2.6Grappling2.4 / 0.5Wrestling1.7 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Jabouin
Strike Zones
Almeida
Jabouin
Attacking
12HEAD8BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD7BODY6LEGS31 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
18HEAD7BODY6LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD8BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jabouin targets the head (60% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (58% of attacks) — Jabouin absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jabouin
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0

Jabouin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L1.5L2011-042012-052014-012015-08
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W2.6L5.2W5.5L4.0L6.0L5.5L2014-112015-112017-072021-03
WinLossTrend

Jabouin · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Felipe ArantesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · KO · R2
Eddie WinelandRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Dustin PagueRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06

Almeida · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Rob FontRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · KO · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

News & Media

Yves Jabouin · Thomas Almeida
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