UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Middleweight
VS
28%
Eastman
72%
Martin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martin
Martin is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Martin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eastman's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martin has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Eastman
Martin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
54
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eastman
Martin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.7
17.2
23.0
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
60
15
Momentum Score
33
Eastman
Martin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
30%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
2
Body
5
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance3
8Clinch11
0Ground0
Eastman
Martin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Eastman
Martin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
32
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/34 fights
Eastman
Martin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Eastman
Martin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eastman
Martin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
EastmanMartin
Strike Zones
Eastman
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedMartin
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eastman targets the head (82% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Martin targets the head (36% of attacks) — Eastman absorbs 36% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eastman
RND
Martin
0/0R00/0
Eastman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.6WinLossTrend
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Eastman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Drew McFedriesRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Terry MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · KO · R2
Quinton JacksonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · KO · R2
Travis LutterRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 50: The War Of '04 · 2004-10
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marvin EastmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · KO · R3
Chris LebenRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · KO · R1
Ivan SalaverryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · KO · R1
Jorge RiveraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04