UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Jacoby
54%
Murzakanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dustin
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
22 – 9
6'3"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight win streakStriker
CFR 62
Azamat
Azamat Murzakanov
"The Professional"
16 – 1
Knockout Artist37 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murzakanov

This is a genuine toss-up — Jacoby at 46% vs Murzakanov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Jacoby throws more volume but Murzakanov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jacoby's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jacoby
Murzakanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jacoby
Murzakanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
72.4
53.8
Performance Avg
64.3
48
Quality of Victory
50
91
Momentum Score
100
Jacoby
Murzakanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
62%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
11
4
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance15
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Jacoby
Murzakanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Murzakanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Jacoby
Murzakanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Murzakanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
83%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jacoby
Murzakanov
Striking8.3 / 10.0Volume3.6 / 3.0Grappling0.7 / 0.4Wrestling0.5 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Jacoby
Strike Zones
Murzakanov
Jacoby
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Murzakanov
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (67% of attacks) — Murzakanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Murzakanov targets the head (69% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jacoby
RND
Murzakanov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jacoby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5W5.6W6.4L7.4L6.3W6.4L2.5L6.6W5.0W5.2W2011-102021-082022-102024-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Murzakanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W5.5W5.9W6.1W5.2W5.1W5.0L2022-032023-042025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Jacoby · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Murzakanov · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Dustin Jacoby · Azamat Murzakanov
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