UFC 97: Redemption
Montreal, Canada
18 Apr 2009
Middleweight
VS
57%
Quarry
43%
MacDonald
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Quarry
This is a genuine toss-up — Quarry at 57% vs MacDonald at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Quarry throws more volume but MacDonald connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Quarry's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
MacDonald has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Quarry
MacDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+80"
54
Age
+50
Open Stance
Stance
Orthodox
Quarry
MacDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
17.3
57.1
Performance Avg
48.8
49
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
52
Quarry
MacDonald
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
51%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch1
15Ground0
Quarry
MacDonald
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Quarry
MacDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/41 fights
Quarry
MacDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Quarry
MacDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quarry
MacDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
QuarryMacDonald
Strike Zones
Quarry
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMacDonald
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quarry targets the head (94% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯MacDonald targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Quarry absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quarry
RND
MacDonald
0/0R00/0
Quarry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Quarry · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Tim CredeurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Sub · R1
Demian MaiaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
W · Dec · R3
Kalib StarnesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
MacDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04