UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
San Diego, USA
1 Aug 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
84%
Jones
16%
Matyushenko
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jones
Jones is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 57 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Matyushenko has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jones
Matyushenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
84"+
Reach
74"
38+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Matyushenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
13.5
74.6
Performance Avg
47.3
61
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
20
Jones
Matyushenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Jones
Matyushenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jones
Matyushenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/35 fights
Jones
Matyushenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Jones
Matyushenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
43%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Matyushenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
JonesMatyushenko
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMatyushenko
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (80% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Matyushenko
0/0R00/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Matyushenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Matyushenko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
