UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz
New Orleans, USA
22 Sept 2000
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Rizzo
51%
Severn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:33
PR
Pedro Rizzo
"The Rock"
20 – 11
6'1"Orthodox52 yrs2-fight win streakStriker
CFR 21
DS
Dan Severn
"The Beast"
101 – 19
Well-Rounded2-fight slide67 yrsSouthpaw6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Severn

This is a genuine toss-up — Rizzo at 49% vs Severn at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Severn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Severn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rizzo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Severn has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rizzo
Severn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
52+
Age
67
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rizzo
Severn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
22.1
53.4
Performance Avg
66.1
46
Quality of Victory
64
91
Momentum Score
65
Rizzo
Severn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
59%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rizzo
Severn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rizzo
Severn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/120 fights
Rizzo
Severn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
65
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R2
W · Dec · R1
Rizzo
Severn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
56%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rizzo
Severn
Striking8.0 / 1.4Volume3.1 / 4.0Grappling0.5 / 5.2Wrestling0.4 / 3.7Submission0.0 / 5.6Pressure6.6 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Rizzo
Strike Zones
Severn
Rizzo
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Severn
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rizzo targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Severn absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rizzo
RND
Severn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rizzo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.2W5.0W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L2.8L6.2W1.5L5.5L4.2W4.5W1998-102000-062001-112003-062003-11
WinLossTrend

Severn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W4.2W4.5W1.5L1.5L1994-121995-041995-122000-09
WinLossTrend

Rizzo · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · R2
Tra TelligmanRating 4.2
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Gan McGeeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03

Severn · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Pedro RizzoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Mark ColemanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 12: Judgement Day · 1997-02
W · Dec · R3
Ken ShamrockRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 9: Motor City Madness · 1996-05
W · Dec · R2
Oleg TaktarovRating 4.2
Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
W · Dec · R1
David AbbottRating 4
Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12

News & Media

Pedro Rizzo · Dan Severn
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