METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Flyweight
VS
50%
Kara-France
50%
Garbrandt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:21
★ Official Result
Kai Kara-FrancewinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:21
def. Cody Garbrandt · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kara-France
→
Actual result
Kara-France wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kara-France at 50% vs Garbrandt at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Kara-France's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Kara-FranceGarbrandt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
69"+
Reach
65"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
53.3
47.5
Performance Avg
50.3
38
Quality of Victory
47
80
Momentum Score
84
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.9
6.2
Style: Volume
4.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
1
Body
0
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance9
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/37 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
84
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kara-France
Garbrandt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Kara-FranceGarbrandt
Strike Zones
Kara-France
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedGarbrandt
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kara-France targets the head (78% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Garbrandt targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Kara-France absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kara-France
RND
Garbrandt
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Kara-France · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Steve ErcegKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · KO · R3
Brandon MorenoKO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
Garbrandt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Adrian YanezKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoSubmission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12