METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Heavyweight
VS
80%
Miocic
20%
Fries
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:43
Stipe
Stipe Miocic
205
6'4"80" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 56
PD
Philip De Fries
126
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Stipe MiocicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:43
def. Philip De Fries · UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miocic
Actual result
Miocic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Miocic is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miocic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Risk flags

Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fries has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MiocicFries
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Miocic
Fries
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
80"+
Reach
79"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Fries
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
13.9
64.9
Performance Avg
38.3
59
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
43
Miocic
Fries
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
4.7
4.3
Style: Volume
4.8
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Miocic
Fries
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miocic
Fries
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Miocic
Fries
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Miocic
Fries
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
50%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miocic
Fries
Striking7.9 / 0.8Volume4.3 / 4.8Grappling0.9 / 5.2Wrestling0.6 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure6.7 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Miocic
Strike Zones
Fries
Miocic
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Fries
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fries absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fries targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miocic
RND
Fries
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Miocic · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jon Jones
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis Ngannou
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel Cormier
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel Cormier
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel Cormier
KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

Fries · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Matt Mitrione
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Todd Duffee
KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · Sub · R2
Oli Thompson
Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R1
Stipe Miocic
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Rob Broughton
Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

News & Media

Stipe Miocic · Philip De Fries
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