UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
67%
Thainara
33%
Brasil
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thainara
Thainara holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Brasil has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Thainara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Thainara throws more volume but Brasil connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Thainara
Brasil
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thainara
Brasil
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.6
32.6
61.3
Performance Avg
30.0
36
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
40
Thainara
Brasil
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
5
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance6
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Thainara
Brasil
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thainara
Brasil
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Thainara
Brasil
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Thainara
Brasil
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thainara
Brasil
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
ThainaraBrasil
Strike Zones
Thainara
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBrasil
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thainara targets the head (44% of attacks) — Brasil absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Brasil targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thainara absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thainara
RND
Brasil
0/0R00/0
Thainara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Brasil · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Thainara · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Loma LookboonmeeRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Brasil · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexia ThainaraRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Shi MingRating 6.9Decision
UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 5.2Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07