★ Championship Bout · Women's Featherweight
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Anaheim, USA
29 Jul 2017
Women's Featherweight
VS
95%
Justino
5%
Evinger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:56
CJ
Cristiane Justino
"Cyborg"
212
5'8"68" reachOrthodox40 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 28
TE
Tonya Evinger
"Triple Threat"
198
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Justino

Justino is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Justino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 69 points.

Justino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evinger has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Justino
Evinger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Justino
Evinger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.9
1.5
75.9
Performance Avg
0.0
69
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Justino
Evinger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
0.4
61%
Strike Accuracy
43%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
3
Body
0
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance2
2Clinch0
4Ground0
Justino
Evinger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Justino
Evinger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/27 fights
Justino
Evinger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Justino
Evinger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Justino
Evinger
Striking8.4 / 0.0Volume4.4 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Justino
Strike Zones
Evinger
Justino
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY6LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Evinger
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY6LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Justino targets the head (47% of attacks) — Evinger absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Evinger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Justino absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Justino
RND
Evinger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Justino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.1W5.2W4.6W5.1W2.7L4.8W2016-052017-072018-032019-07
WinLossTrend

Evinger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0102.8L1.5L5.5L2017-072018-102019-06
WinLossTrend

Justino · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Holly HolmRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Tonya EvingerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07

Evinger · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R1
Aspen LaddRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · KO · R3
Cristiane JustinoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07

News & Media

Cristiane Justino · Tonya Evinger
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