Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

11 Oct 2025

Lightweight

55%

Oliveira

45%

Gamrot

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 2:48

Charles Oliveira

"Do Bronxs"

37 – 11

5'10"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakPressure Fighter

CFR 63

Mateusz Gamrot

"Gamer"

26 – 4

Well-Rounded35 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"

CFR 53

★ Official Result

Charles OliveirawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:48

def. Mateusz Gamrot · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Oliveira

→

Actual result

Oliveira wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Oliveira at 55% vs Gamrot at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

OliveiraGamrot

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Oliveira

Gamrot

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

5'10"

74"+

Reach

70"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Oliveira

Gamrot

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

63.3

52.6

58.6

Performance Avg

50.9

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Oliveira

Gamrot

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

8.0

Style: Pressure

5.8

2.7

Style: Volume

4.8

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

7Distance14

1Clinch0

0Ground0

Oliveira

Gamrot

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.8

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

4.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.0

6.8

Submission Style (/10)

2.2

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Oliveira

Gamrot

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.2 stoppage

KO round context

—

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

37/48 fights

Chin rating based on

14/30 fights

Oliveira

Gamrot

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

L · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Oliveira

Gamrot

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

84%

56%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oliveira

Gamrot

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.6

5.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.8

4.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.0

6.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.2

8.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.8

2.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Oliveira

Strike Zones

Gamrot

Oliveira

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Gamrot

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Oliveira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gamrot absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Gamrot targets the head (93% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oliveira

RND

Gamrot

0/0R00/0

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Max Holloway

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Sub · R2

Mateusz Gamrot

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

L · KO · R1

Ilia Topuria

KO/TKO

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · Dec · R5

Michael Chandler

Decision

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

L · Dec · R3

Arman Tsarukyan

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Gamrot · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Quillan Salkilld

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08

W · Sub · R2

Esteban Ribovics

Submission

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04

L · Sub · R2

Charles Oliveira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Ludovit Klein

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Dan Hooker

Decision

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

News & Media

Charles Oliveira · Mateusz Gamrot

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