UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 Oct 2025
Lightweight
VS
53%
Oliveira
47%
Gamrot
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:48
Charles
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37 – 11
5'10"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakPressure Fighter
CFR 63
Mateusz
Mateusz Gamrot
"Gamer"
26 – 4
Well-Rounded35 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

This is a genuine toss-up — Oliveira at 53% vs Gamrot at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Gamrot throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira
Gamrot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oliveira
Gamrot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
57.0
58.6
Performance Avg
52.9
51
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
66
Oliveira
Gamrot
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
2
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance14
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Oliveira
Gamrot
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
4.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Gamrot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
13/30 fights
Oliveira
Gamrot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
66
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Gamrot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
17
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oliveira
Gamrot
Striking3.0 / 4.7Volume2.7 / 4.9Grappling5.8 / 2.8Wrestling4.1 / 2.0Submission6.8 / 2.2Pressure8.0 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Oliveira
Strike Zones
Gamrot
Oliveira
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Gamrot
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gamrot absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gamrot targets the head (93% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oliveira
RND
Gamrot
0/0R00/0

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5W1.9L1.5L5.0W5.2W2.0L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.0W5.5W2.6L5.0W4.0L2.8L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.4W5.4W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.3W5.0W5.9W6.6W6.6W4.1L6.0W7.1L5.3W3.9L6.2W5.6W2010-082014-062018-062021-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Gamrot · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.6L5.2W5.5W6.3W6.1W6.5L5.7W6.1W4.7W6.4L5.7W3.5L5.9W2020-102022-062024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Gamrot · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Charles Oliveira · Mateusz Gamrot
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