METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
61%
Crute
39%
Prachnio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:42
★ Official Result
Jimmy CrutewinsSubmissionR1 · 4:42
def. Marcin Prachnio · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Crute
→
Actual result
Crute wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Crute holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Prachnio has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Crute has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Prachnio has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CrutePrachnio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Crute
Prachnio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"+
Reach
73"
30+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Crute
Prachnio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
42.9
56.7
Performance Avg
34.0
55
Quality of Victory
33
91
Momentum Score
96
Crute
Prachnio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
2.8
1.2
Style: Volume
6.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
0
Body
9
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
4Distance13
0Clinch6
1Ground2
Crute
Prachnio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Crute
Prachnio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Crute
Prachnio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
96
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Crute
Prachnio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Prachnio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
CrutePrachnio
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedPrachnio
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prachnio absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prachnio targets the body (43% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Prachnio
0/0R00/0
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Marcin PrachnioSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
Upcoming
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Alonzo MenifieldSubmission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Upcoming
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Prachnio · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Modestas BukauskasSubmission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
William KnightDecision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02