UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Edmonton, Canada
2 Nov 2024
Flyweight
VS
46%
Moreno
54%
Albazi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Albazi
This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 46% vs Albazi at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moreno has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moreno
Albazi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
68"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Albazi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
61.9
52.5
Performance Avg
53.5
47
Quality of Victory
42
54
Momentum Score
82
Moreno
Albazi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
9
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
31Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Moreno
Albazi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moreno
Albazi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Moreno
Albazi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Moreno
Albazi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moreno
Albazi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
MorenoAlbazi
Strike Zones
Moreno
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedAlbazi
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (94% of attacks) — Albazi absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Albazi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moreno
RND
Albazi
0/0R00/0
Moreno · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Albazi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Moreno · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Albazi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Kai Kara-FranceRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Alessandro CostaRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Sub · R1
Francisco FigueiredoRating 5Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

