UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Stockholm, Sweden
28 May 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Oezdemir
36%
Cirkunov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oezdemir
Oezdemir holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Cirkunov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Cirkunov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cirkunov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
28.3
50.8
Performance Avg
50.1
47
Quality of Victory
53
52
Momentum Score
59
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.8
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance9
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.7
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oezdemir
Cirkunov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
OezdemirCirkunov
Strike Zones
Oezdemir
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCirkunov
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (78% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oezdemir
RND
Cirkunov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oezdemir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cirkunov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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