UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Nashville, USA
5 Aug 2023
Featherweight
VS
66%
Lopes
34%
Tucker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:38
Diego
Diego Lopes
27 – 8
5'11"72" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
GT
Gavin Tucker
"Guv'nor"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'6"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lopes

Lopes holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Tucker has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lopes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Lopes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tucker has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lopes
Tucker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
72"+
Reach
66"
31+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lopes
Tucker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
32.1
55.6
Performance Avg
43.9
48
Quality of Victory
35
69
Momentum Score
33
Lopes
Tucker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
36%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lopes
Tucker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lopes
Tucker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Lopes
Tucker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Lopes
Tucker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lopes
Tucker
Striking6.3 / 1.1Volume4.0 / 5.1Grappling2.1 / 5.2Wrestling1.5 / 3.6Submission1.7 / 5.0Pressure6.7 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lopes
RND
Tucker
0/0R00/0

Lopes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0106.8L5.0W6.0W5.8W5.2W5.9W7.0L6.7W7.0L2023-052024-042025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Tucker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.6L5.7W5.5W5.7W2.2L2.8L2017-022019-072020-122023-08
WinLossTrend

Lopes · Last 5

Upcoming
Steve Garcia
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Tucker · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin JaynesRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Sub · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07

News & Media

Diego Lopes · Gavin Tucker
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