METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Nashville, USA
5 Aug 2023
Featherweight
VS
66%
Lopes
34%
Tucker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:38
★ Official Result
Diego LopeswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:38
def. Gavin Tucker · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lopes
→
Actual result
Lopes wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lopes holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Tucker has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lopes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Tucker has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LopesTucker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lopes
Tucker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
72"+
Reach
66"
31+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lopes
Tucker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.9
32.1
57.5
Performance Avg
43.9
49
Quality of Victory
35
69
Momentum Score
33
Lopes
Tucker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
7.1
Style: Pressure
5.2
3.7
Style: Volume
5.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lopes
Tucker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lopes
Tucker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Lopes
Tucker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Lopes
Tucker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lopes
Tucker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lopes
RND
Tucker
0/0R00/0
Lopes · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Steve GarciaKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Jean SilvaKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Brian OrtegaDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Tucker · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego LopesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin JaynesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Sub · R3
SeungWoo ChoiSubmission
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07