UFC 75: Champion vs Champion
London, United Kingdom
8 Sept 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Alexander
49%
Sakara
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:01
HA
Houston Alexander
"The Assassin"
17 – 15
6'0"72" reachOrthodox54 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
AS
Alessio Sakara
"Legionarius"
19 – 11
Striker4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alexander

This is a genuine toss-up — Alexander at 51% vs Sakara at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alexander has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Alexander has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alexander's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sakara has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alexander
Sakara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
54
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alexander
Sakara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
17.5
49.3
Performance Avg
46.1
60
Quality of Victory
48
46
Momentum Score
76
Alexander
Sakara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
4Clinch0
13Ground0
Alexander
Sakara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alexander
Sakara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
Alexander
Sakara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
76
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Alexander
Sakara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alexander
Sakara
Striking10.0 / 7.5Volume0.7 / 3.5Grappling0.0 / 0.8Wrestling0.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Alexander
Strike Zones
Sakara
Alexander
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Sakara
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alexander targets the head (94% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Sakara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alexander
RND
Sakara
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Alexander · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.5L2007-052007-092007-112008-042008-092009-12
WinLossTrend

Sakara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W6.3L1.5L4.0L1.5L2006-022007-092009-082012-112013-10
WinLossTrend

Alexander · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin FergusonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
L · Sub · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 75: Champion vs Champion · 2007-09

Sakara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

News & Media

Houston Alexander · Alessio Sakara
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