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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 75: Champion vs Champion
London, United Kingdom
8 Sept 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Alexander
49%
Sakara
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:01
HA
Houston Alexander
"The Assassin"
1715
6'0"72" reachOrthodox54 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
AS
Alessio Sakara
"Legionarius"
1911
Striker4-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Houston AlexanderwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:01
def. Alessio Sakara · UFC 75: Champion vs Champion

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alexander
Actual result
Alexander wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Alexander at 51% vs Sakara at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alexander has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Alexander's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sakara has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AlexanderSakara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Alexander
Sakara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
54
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alexander
Sakara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
17.5
49.3
Performance Avg
46.1
60
Quality of Victory
48
46
Momentum Score
76
Alexander
Sakara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
7.5
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
6.0
0.7
Style: Volume
3.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
4Clinch0
13Ground0
Alexander
Sakara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alexander
Sakara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
Alexander
Sakara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
76
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Alexander
Sakara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alexander
Sakara
Striking10.0 / 7.5Volume0.7 / 3.5Grappling0.0 / 0.8Wrestling0.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Alexander
Strike Zones
Sakara
Alexander
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Sakara
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alexander targets the head (94% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Sakara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alexander
RND
Sakara
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Alexander · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin Ferguson
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
L · Sub · R1
Eric Schafer
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
James Irvin
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · KO · R1
Thiago Silva
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · KO · R1
Alessio Sakara
KO/TKO
UFC 75: Champion vs Champion · 2007-09

Sakara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Nicholas Musoke
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick Cote
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian Stann
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris Weidman
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James Irvin
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

News & Media

Houston Alexander · Alessio Sakara
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