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UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
55%
Namajunas
45%
Maverick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rose
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
158
5'5"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Miranda
Miranda Maverick
"Fear The"
176
Well-Rounded29 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'3"
CFR 52
★ Official Result
Rose NamajunaswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miranda Maverick · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Namajunas
Actual result
Namajunas wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 55% vs Maverick at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Maverick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasMaverick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Namajunas
Maverick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
65"
34
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Namajunas
Maverick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
51.8
55.9
Performance Avg
45.4
51
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
73
Namajunas
Maverick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Namajunas
Maverick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Maverick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Namajunas
Maverick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
73
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Namajunas
Maverick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Namajunas
Maverick
Striking2.9 / 1.3Volume5.9 / 6.3Grappling3.4 / 3.5Wrestling2.4 / 2.5Submission2.5 / 2.5Pressure4.8 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Namajunas
Strike Zones
Maverick
Namajunas
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Maverick
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maverick absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Namajunas
RND
Maverick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Namajunas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0103.0L5.1W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W2.9L5.3W6.8W6.3W5.8L7.1L4.6W5.2W7.0L5.3W7.0L2014-122017-042021-042024-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Maverick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.0W5.7W6.5L7.0L5.2W4.5W6.4L6.5W4.9W5.2W5.2W6.9L2020-102021-122023-062024-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Namajunas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Maverick · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Sub · R3
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6.5
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

News & Media

Rose Namajunas · Miranda Maverick
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