UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
55%
Namajunas
45%
Maverick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Namajunas
This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 55% vs Maverick at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Maverick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Namajunas
Maverick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
65"
33
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Namajunas
Maverick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
51.8
55.9
Performance Avg
45.4
51
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
73
Namajunas
Maverick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Namajunas
Maverick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Maverick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Namajunas
Maverick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
73
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Namajunas
Maverick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
Maverick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
NamajunasMaverick
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMaverick
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maverick absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
Maverick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Maverick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Maverick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Sub · R3
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6.5Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07