METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Krakow, Poland
11 Apr 2015
Welterweight
VS
62%
Moraes
38%
Lebout
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mickael Lebout · UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraes
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moraes holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Lebout has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoraesLebout
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Lebout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Lebout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
11.8
47.0
Performance Avg
28.3
37
Quality of Victory
25
95
Momentum Score
40
Moraes
Lebout
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
1.0
5.2
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance12
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Moraes
Lebout
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Lebout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Moraes
Lebout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moraes
Lebout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Lebout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MoraesLebout
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedLebout
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Lebout absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Lebout targets the head (58% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Lebout
0/0R00/0
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Lebout · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Teemu PackalenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04