METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Krakow, Poland
11 Apr 2015
Welterweight
VS
62%
Moraes
38%
Lebout
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mickael Lebout · UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraes
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moraes holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Lebout has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Moraes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoraesLebout
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Lebout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Lebout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
11.8
47.0
Performance Avg
28.3
37
Quality of Victory
25
95
Momentum Score
40
Moraes
Lebout
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance12
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Moraes
Lebout
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moraes
Lebout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Moraes
Lebout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moraes
Lebout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Lebout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MoraesLebout
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedLebout
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Lebout absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Lebout targets the head (58% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Lebout
0/0R00/0
Moraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lebout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Lebout · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Teemu PackalenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04