METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Lightweight
VS
92%
Patrick
8%
Whiteley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:54
★ Official Result
Alan PatrickwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:54
def. Garett Whiteley · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Patrick
→
Actual result
Patrick wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Patrick is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Patrick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Risk flags
Patrick's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PatrickWhiteley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Patrick
Whiteley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Patrick
Whiteley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
2.1
41.4
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
58
Momentum Score
0
Patrick
Whiteley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.5
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
0
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
3Clinch3
5Ground0
Patrick
Whiteley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patrick
Whiteley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Patrick
Whiteley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Patrick
Whiteley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Patrick
Whiteley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PatrickWhiteley
Strike Zones
Patrick
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWhiteley
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Patrick targets the head (81% of attacks) — Whiteley absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Whiteley targets the head (43% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Patrick
RND
Whiteley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Patrick · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
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Upcoming
Mason JonesUFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · KO · R3
Scott HoltzmanKO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Whiteley · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
David MichaudDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Alan PatrickKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10