METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Lightweight
VS
92%
Patrick
8%
Whiteley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:54
★ Official Result
Alan PatrickwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:54
def. Garett Whiteley · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Patrick
→
Actual result
Patrick wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Patrick is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Patrick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Whiteley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Patrick's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PatrickWhiteley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Patrick
Whiteley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Patrick
Whiteley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
2.1
41.4
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
58
Momentum Score
0
Patrick
Whiteley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
0
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
3Clinch3
5Ground0
Patrick
Whiteley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patrick
Whiteley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Patrick
Whiteley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Patrick
Whiteley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Patrick
Whiteley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PatrickWhiteley
Strike Zones
Patrick
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWhiteley
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Patrick targets the head (81% of attacks) — Whiteley absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Whiteley targets the head (43% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Patrick
RND
Whiteley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Patrick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Whiteley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Patrick · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
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Whiteley · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
David MichaudRating 5.5Decision
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UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10