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UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
59%
Godinez
41%
Reed
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:38
Loopy
Loopy Godinez
146
5'2"61" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Elise
Elise Reed
85
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'3"
CFR 30
★ Official Result
Loopy GodinezwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:38
def. Elise Reed · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Godinez
Actual result
Godinez wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Godinez at 59% vs Reed at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Godinez throws more volume but Reed connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Reed has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GodinezReed
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Godinez
Reed
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
61"
Reach
+63"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Godinez
Reed
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
30.3
42.7
Performance Avg
32.8
31
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
45
Godinez
Reed
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance2
2Clinch0
3Ground0
Godinez
Reed
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Godinez
Reed
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
10
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Godinez
Reed
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
45
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Godinez
Reed
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Godinez
Reed
Striking1.2 / 0.9Volume7.4 / 8.9Grappling3.6 / 2.4Wrestling2.5 / 1.7Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Godinez
Strike Zones
Reed
Godinez
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Reed
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Godinez targets the head (80% of attacks) — Reed absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Reed targets the body (100% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Godinez
RND
Reed
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Godinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6L5.0W6.1L5.4W5.5W5.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W6.2L6.7L5.1W5.3W4.6L2021-042022-052023-092025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Reed · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0101.5L5.0W4.7L4.5W3.7L4.5W3.2L4.6W4.0L2021-072022-092023-092025-05
WinLossTrend

Godinez · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

Reed · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Denise GomesRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jinh Yu FreyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R2
Loma LookboonmeeRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

News & Media

Loopy Godinez · Elise Reed
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