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UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Lemos
49%
Lucindo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Amanda
Amanda Lemos
156
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Iasmin
Iasmin Lucindo
186
Well-Rounded24 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'3"
CFR 54
★ Official Result
Amanda LemoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Iasmin Lucindo · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lemos
Actual result
Lemos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lemos at 51% vs Lucindo at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lemos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Lemos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lemos's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LemosLucindo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lemos
Lucindo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
+66"
39
Age
+24
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lemos
Lucindo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
53.8
49.6
Performance Avg
46.5
43
Quality of Victory
30
85
Momentum Score
81
Lemos
Lucindo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Lemos
Lucindo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lemos
Lucindo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Lemos
Lucindo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Lemos
Lucindo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lemos
Lucindo
Striking4.5 / 1.4Volume4.8 / 7.8Grappling2.8 / 3.5Wrestling2.0 / 2.5Submission2.2 / 2.0Pressure5.7 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
Lemos
Strike Zones
Lucindo
Lemos
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Lucindo
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lemos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lucindo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lucindo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lemos
RND
Lucindo
0/0R00/0

Lemos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L5.0W5.3W5.0W5.0W4.6W2.3L5.2W5.9W7.3L5.7W2.8L5.4W7.4L6.7L2017-072021-072022-112025-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Lucindo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.8L4.5W5.5W4.5W5.2W6.6L4.6W2022-082023-082024-102025-08
WinLossTrend

Lemos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Lucindo · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Sub · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Amanda Lemos · Iasmin Lucindo
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