UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
Denver, USA
10 Nov 2018
Lightweight
VS
44%
Smith
56%
Erosa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Erosa
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 44% vs Erosa at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Erosa throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Erosa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smith
Erosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
76"+
Reach
74"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Smith
Erosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
39.6
49.5
Performance Avg
46.2
49
Quality of Victory
44
78
Momentum Score
26
Smith
Erosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
2
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Smith
Erosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Erosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
18/45 fights
Smith
Erosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Smith
Erosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Erosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
SmithErosa
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedErosa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (69% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Erosa targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Erosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Erosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
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