UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Middleweight
VS
62%
Kopylov
38%
Fremd
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kopylov
Kopylov holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Fremd has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kopylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fremd has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kopylov
Fremd
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kopylov
Fremd
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
33.1
50.3
Performance Avg
35.7
45
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
25
Kopylov
Fremd
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
39%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
13
4
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kopylov
Fremd
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kopylov
Fremd
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Kopylov
Fremd
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
25
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Kopylov
Fremd
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kopylov
Fremd
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
KopylovFremd
Strike Zones
Kopylov
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedFremd
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kopylov targets the head (68% of attacks) — Fremd absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Fremd targets the head (81% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kopylov
RND
Fremd
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kopylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Fremd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Kopylov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Fremd · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R2
Roman KopylovRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Sedriques DumasRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Tresean GoreRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

