UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
62%
Jung
38%
Clark
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jung
Jung holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Clark has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jung has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Clark has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jung's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clark has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jung
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
75"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jung
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
28.7
48.5
Performance Avg
35.7
48
Quality of Victory
28
50
Momentum Score
43
Jung
Clark
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
36%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
14
3
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance14
5Clinch4
0Ground1
Jung
Clark
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jung
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Jung
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Jung
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
13%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jung
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
JungClark
Strike Zones
Jung
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedClark
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jung targets the head (57% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (74% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jung
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
Jung · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jung · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 6.5Decision
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L · Sub · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 5.9Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
Clark · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R2
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 4Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1Decision
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L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
William KnightRating 5.5KO/TKO
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