UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Middleweight
VS
79%
Shahbazyan
21%
Byrd
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:38
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shahbazyan
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Byrd has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Byrd has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
73"
28+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
16.5
56.3
Performance Avg
42.4
51
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
7Clinch0
2Ground0
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Byrd
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
ShahbazyanByrd
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedByrd
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Byrd absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Byrd targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Byrd
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Byrd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Byrd · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Maki PitoloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Darren StewartRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Sub · R1
John PhillipsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03