UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Holm
53%
Vieira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15 – 7
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Ketlen
Ketlen Vieira
"Fenomeno"
16 – 5
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vieira

This is a genuine toss-up — Holm at 47% vs Vieira at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holm has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Holm has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holm
Vieira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Vieira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
42.2
46.5
Performance Avg
43.7
42
Quality of Victory
28
30
Momentum Score
45
Holm
Vieira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
7
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance7
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Holm
Vieira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holm
Vieira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Holm
Vieira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
45
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holm
Vieira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
10%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holm
Vieira
Striking3.6 / 1.3Volume7.1 / 8.5Grappling1.8 / 3.0Wrestling1.3 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure3.4 / 2.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Holm
Strike Zones
Vieira
Holm
Attacking
9HEAD7BODY5LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Vieira
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD7BODY5LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (43% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Vieira targets the head (90% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holm
RND
Vieira
0/0R00/0

Holm · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.1W4.5W5.1W4.9L6.9L6.7L5.2W5.5L4.5W2.7L5.1W5.3W5.9L4.6W4.9L2015-022016-072018-062022-052024-04
WinLossTrend

Vieira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W2.3L4.5W5.6L5.4W4.6W6.1L4.5W7.6L5.8W6.0L5.4W2016-102019-122022-052025-052026-05
WinLossTrend

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

Vieira · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Kayla HarrisonRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

News & Media

Holly Holm · Ketlen Vieira
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