UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Middleweight
VS
19%
Camozzi
81%
Jacoby
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:08
CC
Chris Camozzi
24 – 13
6'2"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Dustin
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
22 – 9
Striker3-fight win streak38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jacoby

Jacoby is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Jacoby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jacoby has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Camozzi
Jacoby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Jacoby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
62.1
37.6
Performance Avg
53.8
31
Quality of Victory
48
63
Momentum Score
91
Camozzi
Jacoby
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Camozzi
Jacoby
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Jacoby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
17/31 fights
Camozzi
Jacoby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Camozzi
Jacoby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Camozzi
Jacoby
Striking2.1 / 8.3Volume6.3 / 3.6Grappling2.5 / 0.7Wrestling1.7 / 0.5Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Camozzi
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Camozzi
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Jacoby
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jacoby targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Camozzi
RND
Jacoby
0/0R00/0

Camozzi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L6.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.5L2010-062012-062014-072016-052017-05
WinLossTrend

Jacoby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5W5.6W6.4L7.4L6.3W6.4L2.5L6.6W5.0W5.2W2011-102021-082022-102024-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Camozzi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

Jacoby · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Chris Camozzi · Dustin Jacoby
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