METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Middleweight
VS
19%
Camozzi
81%
Jacoby
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:08
★ Official Result
Chris CamozziwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:08
def. Dustin Jacoby · UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Camozzi wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jacoby has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CamozziJacoby
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Camozzi
Jacoby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Jacoby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
59.6
37.6
Performance Avg
52.3
31
Quality of Victory
48
63
Momentum Score
91
Camozzi
Jacoby
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
6.7
6.3
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Camozzi
Jacoby
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Jacoby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
36
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Camozzi
Jacoby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Camozzi
Jacoby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camozzi
Jacoby
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
CamozziJacoby
Strike Zones
Camozzi
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedJacoby
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jacoby targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camozzi
RND
Jacoby
0/0R00/0
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
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L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaDecision
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W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsKO/TKO
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Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
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