METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Middleweight
VS
19%
Camozzi
81%
Jacoby
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:08
★ Official Result
Chris CamozziwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:08
def. Dustin Jacoby · UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Camozzi wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Jacoby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jacoby has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CamozziJacoby
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Camozzi
Jacoby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Jacoby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
62.1
37.6
Performance Avg
53.8
31
Quality of Victory
48
63
Momentum Score
91
Camozzi
Jacoby
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Camozzi
Jacoby
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Jacoby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
17/31 fights
Camozzi
Jacoby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Camozzi
Jacoby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camozzi
Jacoby
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
CamozziJacoby
Strike Zones
Camozzi
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedJacoby
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jacoby targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camozzi
RND
Jacoby
0/0R00/0
Camozzi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jacoby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
Jacoby · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12